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PBA Analysis Seminar Archive

The following is a list of topics and presenters from the Planning, Budget, and Analysis (PBA) meetings, held since 2004. To request a copy of selected presentations, contact Fred Beck, 202-586-2824.

2011

March 1

• "Modeling Renewable Energy Technologies in a Research Version of the Global Change Assessment Model" — Steven Smith, Joint Global Change Research Institute

January 27

• "Mobility and Carbon: The Blind Side of Transport Fuel Demand in the Developed and Developing World" — Lee Schipper, UC Berkeley 2010

2010 

December 2

• "State-Level Climate Action Plans" — Tom Peterson, Center for Climate Strategies

November 29

• "Climate Change Policy and the Electricity Sector: Long and Short Term Perspectives" — Jim Williams and Rebecca Ghanadan, Energy and Environmental Economics

November 2

• "Green Chemistry: Bio-based Chemicals and Products" — Rina Singh, BIO; Kevin Jarrell, Modular Genetics; Charles Eggert, OPX Biotechnologies; Benjamin Locke, Metabolix

September 21

• "An Overview of the Science of Climate Change" — Jeremy Richardson, New West Technologies LLC

September 9

• "Geospatial Issues In Energy and Climate Policy Modeling: Improving the Representation of Renewable Technologies" — Douglas J. Arent, NREL

June 23

• "Lessons for Climate Stabilizing Innovation from Experience with Cap-and-Trade Programs" — Margaret Taylor, LBNL

May 13

• "Comparison of Technology Cost and Performance Projections (2010-2050) Across Key Energy Models and Datasets" — Jordan Macknick and Laura Vimmerstedt, NREL

May 11

• "Energy Innovation and Competitiveness" — Tod Perry and Jim Newcomb, NREL

May 3

• "An Electric-Vehicle-Charging Decision Support Algorithm that Mitigates Renewable Energy Generation Intermittency and Distribution Network Capacity Congestion" — Michael Caramanis, Boston University

April 22

• "Roadmap 2050: Practical Guide to a Prosperous, Low-Carbon Europe" — Jurriaan Ruys, McKinsey & Co.

March 17

• "Implementation of the Grid Integrated Vehicle, with Vehicle to Grid Power" — Willett Kempton, University of Delaware

March 10

• "Coal-Fired Power Plants in the United States: Examination of the Costs of Retrofitting with CO2 Capture Technology and the Potential for Improvements in Efficiency" — Jeff Eppink, Enegis LLC

January 14

• "Integrated Water-Energy Planning" — Shahid Chaudhry, California Energy Commission

January 7

• "Renewable Energy Markets in the United States" — Lori Bird, NREL

2009

December 7

• "Systemic Economic-Environmental Analysis for Building-Scale Microgrids" — Chris Marnay, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)

November 17

• "Germany's Energy Policy Status and Evaluation of Germany's Policies on Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy" — Friedo Sielemann, Counselor, Environment and Energy, Embassy of the Federal Republic of Germany

November 3

• "Virtual Information Bridge to Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (VIBE) and Open Data Platform" — Debbie Brodt-Giles, Elaine Wood, and Ryan McKeel, NREL

October 15

• "The Effects of Regulatory Constraints and Environmental Regulation on Electric Grid Reliability" — Bob Thomas, Cornell University

October 1

• "The Profitability Index Method (PIM) for Calculating Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE): Application to Feed-in Tariffs and Investment Decisions" — Bernard Chabot

September 15

• "Agent-Based Behavioral Modeling and Applications to Energy Systems and R&D Strategy" — Charles Macal, Decision & Information Sciences Division, Argonne National Laboratory

June 23

• "Impact of Normative Consumer Messaging on Residential Energy Efficiency" — Michael Sachse and Tyler Curtis, Positive Energy

June 9

• "Improvements in the Representation of Renewable and End-Use Energy Technologies in the ObjECTS MiniCAM Integrated Assessment Model" — Steve Smith and Marshall Wise, Joint Global Change Research Institute (JGCRI), PNNL

2007 

December 13

• "Analysis Supporting Clean Energy Campaign in New England" — Jonathan Edwards and Brian Keane, SmartPower

November 29

• "Modeling EERE Deployment Programs" — Donna Hostick and David Belzer, PNNL

November 15

• "DARPA and DoD Energy Initiatives" — Tony Tether, DARPA

November 8

• "A Sustainable Energy Utility" — John Byrne, University of Delaware

October 25

• "Impact Evaluation Framework for Technology Deployment Programs" — John Reed, Innovologie

October 18

• "Overview of Evaluation Methods for R&D Programs" — Rosalie Ruegg, TIA

October 11

• "Algae's Potential for Driving a Carbon Capture-and-Recycle Industry" — Jim Sears, A2BE Carbon Capture

October 4

• "Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations" — Leon Clarke, PNNL

September 27

• "Biofuels from Latin America: Promises and Barriers" — Tien Nguyen, EERE/OPBA

September 13

• "Principal Agent Problem" — Jayant Sathaye, LBNL

September 6

• "Analyzing Hydrogen Futures Using NEMS-H2: An Integrated Modeling Approach" — Frances Wood, OnLocation Inc.

August 23

• "The Renewable Fuels Standard: Agricultural Sector and Energy Security Analyses" — Michael Shelby, EPA

August 16

• "Systems Analysis Applied in the Hydrogen Program" — Fred Joseck, EERE HFCIT

August 2

• "Highlights of the FY07 EERE PAE Analysis Portfolio" — Michael Leifman and John Sheehan, EERE PAE

July 26

• "EPA's State Clean Energy-Environment Program: A Co-Benefits Strategy for Action" — Julie Rosenberg, EPA

July 19

• "Energy Supply and Industry" — Leslie Cordes, EPA

July 12

• "GPRA '08 Sensitivities — 'Additive' vs. 'Subtractive' Cases" — Frances Wood, OnLocation Inc.

June 21

• "The Value of Improved Energy Efficiency" — Steve Smith, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

May 31

• "An Overview of Federal Legislation on Energy Efficiency" — Lowell Ungar, Alliance to Save Energy

May 24

• "Real Options Analysis" — Steve Hoye, Decisioneering Inc.

May 10

• "Energy Consumption in the Information Age — An Inconclusive Truth" — Joe Loper, Alliance to Save Energy

May 3

• "Impacts of Increasing Renewable Energy Use on U.S. Energy Expenditures and Emissions" — Mike Toman, RAND

April 26

• "Pilot Quality Control Process for Biomass Benefits Analysis" — Tien Nguyen, EERE

April 19

• "Energy Straightjacket" — Neal Elliott, American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy (ACEEE)

April 12

• "Energy Outlook" — Susan Carter and Adam Bratis, Exxon Mobil

April 5

• "Market Mechanisms to Curb Greenhouse Gases: Challenges and Future Directions" — Joe Kruger, National Commission on Energy Policy

March 29

• "Shaping the Next 100 Years: New Methods for Long-Term, Quantitative Policy Analysis" — Robert Lempert, RAND

March 8

• "Challenges in Expanding the Role of Biofuels in America's Energy Portfolio" — Daniel G. De La Torre Ugarte, University of Tennessee

February 22

• "Issues in Evaluating an Energy Transition — Moving to a Light Vehicle Fleet Fueled by Hydrogen" — Steve Plotkin, Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)

February 15

• "Ethanol Policy Options: Evaluation of Existing Policies and Barriers" — Tien Nguyen, EERE

February 8

• "Energy Market Impacts of a Clean Energy Portfolio Standard" — Chris Namovicz and Bob Smith, EIA

January 25

• "Modeling Economy-wide vs. Sectoral Climate Policies Using Combined Aggregate-Sectoral Models" — Billy Pizer, Resources for the Future

2006

December 21

• "The Multipath Transportation Futures Study" — Phil Patterson, EERE

December 7

• "Biomass Transitional Model" — John Sheehan, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

November 30

• "Clean Energy, a Strong Economy, and a Healthy Environment" — Doug Arent, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

November 16

• "DOE Activities in Nanoscience and Nanotechnology" — Tof Carim, DOE Basic Energy Sciences

November 9

• "Contagion-Based Modeling to Simulate Consumer Choices Over Energy-Saving Products" — David Bjornstad, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)

October 26

• "Transition to a Cellulosic Ethanol Industry: Agricultural Sector Analytical Needs" — Burton English, University of Tennessee 

October 19

• "Reviewing the State of the Climate: Science and Policy Perspectives" — Jonathan Pershing, World Resources Institute 

October 12

• "HOMER: The Optimization Model for Distributed Energy" — Peter Lilienthal, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

October 5

• "Challenges in Communicating Probabilistic Information to Policy Makers" — Thomas Wallsten, University of Maryland

September 28

• "Modeling and the Sources of Technological Change" — Leon Clarke, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

September 21

• "Relating Market Values to Energy-Saving R&D Program Design" — David Bjornstad, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)

September 14

• "Modeling the Market Penetration of Solar Photovoltaics on Buildings" — Paul Denholm, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

August 31

• "Government Efforts to Promote Ethanol Biofuels in Brazil" — Otaviano Canuto, World Bank

August 24

• "The Effectiveness and Cost of Energy Efficiency Programs" — Karen Palmer, Resources for the Future

August 3

• "Carbon: The Next 50 Years" — Tom Sheahen, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

July 20

• "GPRA Modeling of EERE Programs, Part 2" — Frances Wood and Chip Friley, EERE

July 13

• "GPRA Modeling of EERE Programs, Part 1" — Frances Wood and Chip Friley, EERE

June 29

• "Climate Chage Risk Analysis Framework" — Jane Leggett, Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)

June 22

• "The Problem is the U.S. and China — the Solution is California and Germany" — Art Rosenfeld, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)

June 15

• "PSAT Capabilities and Analysis" — Philip Sharer, Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)

June 1

• "Biofuel Pathways" — Lou Burke, Conoco Phillips

May 25

• "Review of Biomass Supply Curves in EIA and EERE Models" — Sujit Das, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)

May 18

• "PNNL Climate-Change Model — Mini CAM" — Jae Edmonds, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

May 11

• "The Multipath Transportation Futures Study: A Progress Report" — Phil Patterson, EERE

April 27

• "Green Power Market Development Group" — Craig Hanson, World Resources Institute

April 20

• "Ethanol Infrastructure — Current Status" — Tien Nguyen, EERE

March 30

• "Information Search and Retrieval Tool for PAE Knowledge Management" — Larry Marine

March 16

• "Input/Output Tool" — Joe Roop, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

February 23

• "The Biomass Market Model" — Brian Lavoie, TMS

February 16

• "Letting the Sun Shine on Solar Costs: An Empirical Investigation of Photovoltaic Cost Trends in California" — Ryan Wiser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)

February 2

• "SNL Probability Risk Assessment of DER techs for high reliability Applications" — Dave Robinson

January 26

• "Market Penetration Modeling Under Uncertainty: Stochastic Energy Deployment Systems Model (SEDS)" — Walter Short and Tom Ferguson, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
• "ComSeM: A NEMS Compatible Model of Commercial Sector Technology Diffusion" — Chris Marnay, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)
• "Multi–Path Transportation Futures Study Discussion" — Margaret Singh and Steve Plotkin, Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)

2005

December 15

• "NEMS and other models" — Michael Leifman and Frances Wood:

November 3

• "Stationary Fuel Cell Markets" — Battelle

September 22

• "Update on Analysis Projects at Berkeley Lab" — Chris Marnay, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)

September 8

• "USDA/OBP Study on the Potential for 1 Billion Tons of Biomass per Year" — Sam Tagore, OBP
• "Using Ethanol in Very–Efficient Vehicles" — Phil Patterson, Planning, Analysis, and Evaluation (PAE)

August 18

• "Ethanol Blend Value" — Dave Andress, David Andress and Associates

July 7

• "The 'What If' Capability: the Stochastic Energy Deployment System" — Walter Short, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

June 30

• "Input/Output Analysis for GPRA" — Joe Roop, PNNL

June 2

• "GREET" — Michael Wang, ANL

May 5

• "Wind: Cost of Energy and Technology Characterizations" — Joe Cohen for Tom Schweizer, PERI

April 28

• "Overview of the Solar Deployment Systems (SolarDS) Model" — Paul Denholm, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

April 14

• "Global Climate Change Modeling" — Jae Edmonds, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

April 7

• "Solid State Energy Conversion Alliance (SECA)" — Jud Virden, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

March 17

• "New Aspects of the RECS Survey" — Stephanie Battles, Energy Information Administration (EIA)

February 24

• "U.S. Version of the Consolidated Impacts Modeling Systems (CIMS)" — Joe Roop, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

February 17

• "Ending the Energy Stalemate" — National Commission on Energy Policy Final Report and Appendices" — Jason Grumet, NCEP; and Marilyn Brown, ORNL

February 3

• "LOHAS Consumer Trends Database" – Steve French, The Natural Marketing Institute

January 13

• Two brainstorming topics

  • "Roadmapping for interacting with other analysts" — Jeff Harris, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)
  • "Process for identifying emerging issues and trends" — Jeff Harris, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)

January 6

• "The AVID Vehicle Choice Model (early buyers and early adopters) and Inputs from ORC Surveys" — Dan Santini, Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)

2004

December 2

• "Brainstorm the Development of Sector–Based Models, with a Focus on the Buildings Model" — Brian Card and Darrell Beschen, PBA
• "Conduct a Hydrogen Delphi in Relation to Developing a Hydrogen Economy Scenario" — Darrell Beschen, PBA
• "HyTrans (Transition to Hydrogen in Light Vehicles) Model Update" — David Greene, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)

November 18

• "How can buildings help keep electricity affordable and secure?" — Rob Pratt, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

November 4

• "Long–Term Climate Modeling" — Jae Edmonds, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

October 14

• "Cost of Oil Dependence, Oil Security, and HyTrans" — David Greene, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)

September 30

• "Changes in AEO 2005" — Andy Kydes, Energy Information Administration (EIA)

September 16

• "Reliability Metrics" — Joe Eto, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL)

August 12

• "Energy in U.S. Economic Growth over the next 30 Years" — Dale Jorgenson

April 22

• "Analysis of Renewables Policies Using the Haiku Model" — Dallas Burtraw and Karen Palmer, RFF

April 1

• "Wind: Pathways Analysis and Other Wind Program–Sponsored Analysis" — Tom Schweizer, PERI

March 25

• "Solar 2050 Scenarios and Results" — Robert Margolis, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

March 11

• "Impacts for OIT" — Steve Weakley, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)
• "Green Power Analysis and National Trends" — Blair Swezey, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)

February 26

• "EERE Evaluation Toolbox" — Martin Schweitzer, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL); and Gretchen Jordan, Sandia National Laboratory (SNL)

January 29

• "Agent–Based Models" — Charles Macal, Argonne National Laboratory (ANL)
• "Energy Intensity Indicators Project" — Joe Roop, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL)

January 22

• "Sandia Models" — Arnie Baker, Sandia National Laboratory (SNL)