Fact #347: November 22, 2004
The Relationship of VMT and GDP

The nation's highway vehicle miles of travel (VMT) and the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) reflect strikingly similar patterns, indicating the strong relationship between the nation's economy and its travel. The graph shows how closely the two data series track each other over the past four decades.

Graph showing the relationship between the nation's economy (gross domestic product) and its travel (vehicle miles of travel).

Supporting Information

Relationship of GDP to VMT
  GDP in Constant 2000 Dollars, Indexed to 1996 VMT, Indexed to 1996
1960 30.0 28.9
1961 30.7 29.7
1962 32.6 30.8
1963 34.0 32.4
1964 36.0 34.0
1965 38.3 35.7
1966 40.8 37.2
1967 41.8 38.8
1968 43.9 40.9
1969 45.2 42.7
1970 45.3 44.6
1971 46.8 47.4
1972 49.3 50.7
1973 52.1 52.8
1974 51.9 51.5
1975 51.8 53.4
1976 54.5 56.4
1977 57.0 59.0
1978 60.2 62.1
1979 62.1 61.5
1980 62.0 61.4
1981 63.5 62.6
1982 62.3 64.2
1983 65.1 66.5
1984 69.8 69.2
1985 72.7 71.4
1986 75.2 73.8
1987 77.7 77.3
1988 81.0 81.5
1989 83.8 84.3
1990 85.4 86.3
1991 85.3 87.4
1992 88.1 90.4
1993 90.4 92.4
1994 94.1 94.8
1995 96.4 97.5
1996 100.0 100.0
1997 104.5 103.0
1998 108.9 105.9
1999 113.7 108.3
2000 117.9 110.5
2001 118.8 112.5
2002 121.0 114.9

Source: VMT: U.S. Department of Transportation, Highway Statistics 2002, Table VM-1, and previous editions.
GDP: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, NIPA Table 1.1.6.

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