Fact #688: August 15, 2011
All Sectors' Petroleum Gap
Before1989 the U.S. produced enough petroleum to meet the needs of the transportation sector, but was still short of meeting the petroleum needs of all the sectors, including industrial, residential and commercial, and electric utilities. In 1973 the gap between what the U.S. produced and what was consumed was 5.6 million barrels per day. By 2035, the gap is expected to be at least 9.6 million barrels per day if all sources of petroleum are included or 12.7 million barrels per day if only conventional petroleum sources are used.
U.S. Petroleum Production and Consumption, 1970-2035
Notes:
- The U.S. Production has two lines after 2005. The solid line is conventional sources of petroleum. The dashed line adds in other non-petroleum sources, including ethanol, biomass, liquids from coal, other blending components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers.
- Between 2009 and 2010 the data change from historical to projected values.
- The sharp increase in transportation value between 2006 and 2007 is due to the Federal Highway Administration methodology change in heavy truck fuel use.
Supporting Information
| Year | Transportation | Industrial | Residential and Commercial | Electric Utilities | Total | U.S. Petroleum Production with Other Inputs 2007-on (dotted line) | U.S. Petroleum Production without Other Inputs 2007-on |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1973 | 8.78 | 4.48 | 2.23 | 1.54 | 17.04 | 11.40 | 11.40 |
| 1973 | 8.78 | 4.48 | 2.23 | 1.54 | 17.03 | 11.40 | 11.40 |
| 1974 | 8.43 | 4.30 | 2.04 | 1.48 | 16.24 | 10.94 | 10.94 |
| 1975 | 8.55 | 4.04 | 1.95 | 1.39 | 15.92 | 10.47 | 10.47 |
| 1976 | 9.06 | 4.46 | 2.13 | 1.52 | 17.17 | 10.24 | 10.24 |
| 1977 | 9.36 | 4.82 | 2.14 | 1.71 | 18.03 | 10.39 | 10.39 |
| 1978 | 9.80 | 4.87 | 2.07 | 1.75 | 18.49 | 10.77 | 10.77 |
| 1979 | 9.60 | 5.34 | 1.73 | 1.44 | 18.11 | 10.66 | 10.66 |
| 1980 | 9.26 | 4.86 | 1.52 | 1.15 | 16.79 | 10.80 | 10.80 |
| 1981 | 9.16 | 4.27 | 1.33 | 0.96 | 15.73 | 10.69 | 10.69 |
| 1982 | 8.90 | 4.06 | 1.24 | 0.69 | 14.89 | 10.73 | 10.73 |
| 1983 | 8.95 | 3.85 | 1.29 | 0.68 | 14.78 | 10.73 | 10.73 |
| 1984 | 9.29 | 4.20 | 1.38 | 0.56 | 15.44 | 11.09 | 11.09 |
| 1985 | 9.42 | 4.07 | 1.34 | 0.48 | 15.31 | 11.14 | 11.14 |
| 1986 | 9.93 | 4.09 | 1.37 | 0.64 | 16.02 | 10.85 | 10.85 |
| 1987 | 10.17 | 4.21 | 1.40 | 0.55 | 16.33 | 10.58 | 10.58 |
| 1988 | 10.43 | 4.36 | 1.41 | 0.69 | 16.89 | 10.45 | 10.45 |
| 1989 | 10.59 | 4.25 | 1.39 | 0.75 | 16.97 | 9.82 | 9.82 |
| 1990 | 10.57 | 4.30 | 1.23 | 0.57 | 16.67 | 9.60 | 9.60 |
| 1991 | 10.38 | 4.22 | 1.21 | 0.53 | 16.33 | 9.79 | 9.79 |
| 1992 | 10.67 | 4.53 | 1.20 | 0.44 | 16.84 | 9.67 | 9.67 |
| 1993 | 10.84 | 4.44 | 1.18 | 0.49 | 16.96 | 9.35 | 9.35 |
| 1994 | 11.14 | 4.67 | 1.17 | 0.47 | 17.44 | 9.16 | 9.16 |
| 1995 | 11.40 | 4.59 | 1.13 | 0.33 | 17.46 | 9.10 | 9.10 |
| 1996 | 11.65 | 4.83 | 1.21 | 0.36 | 18.05 | 9.16 | 9.16 |
| 1997 | 11.83 | 4.95 | 1.16 | 0.41 | 18.35 | 9.12 | 9.12 |
| 1998 | 12.03 | 4.84 | 1.08 | 0.58 | 18.53 | 8.90 | 8.90 |
| 1999 | 12.58 | 5.03 | 1.18 | 0.53 | 19.33 | 8.62 | 8.62 |
| 2000 | 12.73 | 4.92 | 1.28 | 0.51 | 19.44 | 8.70 | 8.70 |
| 2001 | 12.61 | 4.89 | 1.25 | 0.56 | 19.32 | 8.57 | 8.57 |
| 2002 | 12.88 | 4.93 | 1.19 | 0.43 | 19.43 | 8.58 | 8.58 |
| 2003 | 12.96 | 4.90 | 1.28 | 0.53 | 19.67 | 8.37 | 8.37 |
| 2004 | 13.16 | 5.23 | 1.26 | 0.54 | 20.18 | 8.30 | 8.30 |
| 2005 | 13.38 | 5.10 | 1.20 | 0.55 | 20.22 | 7.88 | 7.88 |
| 2006 | 13.49 | 5.19 | 1.03 | 0.29 | 19.99 | 7.83 | 7.83 |
| 2007 | 14.23 | 5.05 | 1.04 | 0.29 | 20.62 | 7.84 | 7.84 |
| 2008 | 13.89 | 4.53 | 1.06 | 0.21 | 19.69 | 8.52 | 7.74 |
| 2009 | 13.61 | 4.250 | 1.04 | 0.180 | 19.08 | 8.99 | 8.03 |
| 2010 | 13.74 | 4.370 | 1.00 | 0.200 | 19.31 | 9.11 | 8.02 |
| 2011 | 13.88 | 4.500 | 1.00 | 0.200 | 19.58 | 9.41 | 8.24 |
| 2012 | 14.03 | 4.770 | 0.99 | 0.190 | 19.98 | 9.49 | 8.28 |
| 2013 | 14.20 | 4.910 | 0.97 | 0.190 | 20.27 | 9.75 | 8.45 |
| 2014 | 14.25 | 4.950 | 0.96 | 0.190 | 20.35 | 9.89 | 8.52 |
| 2015 | 14.31 | 4.990 | 0.95 | 0.190 | 20.44 | 10.00 | 8.58 |
| 2016 | 14.39 | 5.010 | 0.94 | 0.190 | 20.53 | 10.07 | 8.57 |
| 2017 | 14.45 | 5.010 | 0.93 | 0.190 | 20.58 | 10.23 | 8.67 |
| 2018 | 14.50 | 4.980 | 0.92 | 0.190 | 20.59 | 10.39 | 8.79 |
| 2019 | 14.54 | 4.970 | 0.92 | 0.190 | 20.62 | 10.60 | 8.96 |
| 2020 | 14.61 | 4.960 | 0.91 | 0.200 | 20.68 | 10.77 | 9.06 |
| 2021 | 14.64 | 4.980 | 0.90 | 0.200 | 20.72 | 10.89 | 9.10 |
| 2022 | 14.71 | 4.980 | 0.90 | 0.200 | 20.79 | 11.02 | 9.05 |
| 2023 | 14.79 | 4.970 | 0.89 | 0.200 | 20.85 | 10.96 | 8.98 |
| 2024 | 14.87 | 4.960 | 0.89 | 0.200 | 20.92 | 11.00 | 8.96 |
| 2025 | 14.96 | 4.940 | 0.88 | 0.200 | 20.98 | 11.15 | 9.04 |
| 2026 | 15.04 | 4.910 | 0.88 | 0.200 | 21.03 | 11.30 | 9.10 |
| 2027 | 15.13 | 4.880 | 0.87 | 0.200 | 21.08 | 11.48 | 9.18 |
| 2028 | 15.23 | 4.860 | 0.87 | 0.200 | 21.16 | 11.53 | 9.15 |
| 2029 | 15.34 | 4.840 | 0.86 | 0.200 | 21.24 | 11.63 | 9.17 |
| 2030 | 15.47 | 4.830 | 0.86 | 0.200 | 21.36 | 11.70 | 9.15 |
| 2031 | 15.60 | 4.830 | 0.86 | 0.200 | 21.49 | 11.81 | 9.12 |
| 2032 | 15.72 | 4.820 | 0.86 | 0.200 | 21.60 | 11.94 | 9.15 |
| 2033 | 15.84 | 4.810 | 0.85 | 0.200 | 21.70 | 12.20 | 9.30 |
| 2034 | 15.97 | 4.790 | 0.85 | 0.210 | 21.82 | 12.30 | 9.28 |
| 2035 | 16.10 | 4.770 | 0.85 | 0.210 | 21.93 | 12.34 | 9.23 |
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