Fact #610: February 15, 2010
All Sectors' Petroleum Gap

Before 1989 the U.S. produced enough petroleum to meet the needs of the transportation sector, but was still short of meeting the petroleum needs of all the sectors, including industrial, residential and commercial, and electric utilities. In 1973 the gap between what the U.S. produced and what was consumed was 5.6 million barrels per day. By 2035, the gap is expected to be at least 10.8 million barrels per day if all sources of petroleum are included or 13.9 million barrels per day if only conventional petroleum sources are used.

Supporting Information

Historical and Future U.S. Petroleum Production and Transportation Petroleum Use (Million barrels per day)

Year	Transportation	Industrial	Residential and Commercial	Electric Utilities	Total	U.S. Petroleum Production with Other Inputs 2007-on (dotted line)	U.S. Petroleum Production without Other Inputs 2007-on
1973	8.78	4.48	2.23	1.54	17.04	11.40	11.40
1974	8.43	4.30	2.04	1.48	16.24	10.94	10.94
1975	8.55	4.04	1.95	1.39	15.92	10.47	10.47
1976	9.06	4.46	2.13	1.52	17.17	10.24	10.24
1977	9.36	4.82	2.14	1.71	18.03	10.39	10.39
1978	9.80	4.87	2.07	1.75	18.49	10.77	10.77
1979	9.60	5.34	1.73	1.44	18.11	10.66	10.66
1980	9.26	4.86	1.52	1.15	16.80	10.80	10.80
1981	9.16	4.27	1.33	0.96	15.73	10.69	10.69
1982	8.90	4.06	1.24	0.69	14.89	10.73	10.73
1983	8.95	3.85	1.29	0.68	14.78	10.73	10.73
1984	9.30	4.20	1.38	0.56	15.45	11.09	11.09
1985	9.42	4.07	1.34	0.48	15.31	11.14	11.14
1986	9.93	4.09	1.37	0.64	16.02	10.85	10.85
1987	10.17	4.21	1.40	0.55	16.33	10.58	10.58
1988	10.43	4.36	1.41	0.69	16.89	10.45	10.45
1989	10.59	4.25	1.39	0.75	16.97	9.82	9.82
1990	10.57	4.30	1.23	0.57	16.67	9.60	9.60
1991	10.38	4.22	1.21	0.53	16.33	9.79	9.79
1992	10.67	4.53	1.20	0.44	16.84	9.67	9.67
1993	10.84	4.44	1.18	0.49	16.96	9.35	9.35
1994	11.14	4.67	1.17	0.47	17.44	9.16	9.16
1995	11.40	4.59	1.13	0.33	17.46	9.10	9.10
1996	11.65	4.83	1.21	0.36	18.05	9.16	9.16
1997	11.83	4.95	1.16	0.41	18.35	9.12	9.12
1998	12.03	4.84	1.08	0.58	18.53	8.90	8.90
1999	12.58	5.03	1.18	0.53	19.33	8.62	8.62
2000	12.73	4.92	1.28	0.51	19.44	8.70	8.70
2001	12.61	4.89	1.25	0.56	19.32	8.57	8.57
2002	12.79	4.93	1.19	0.43	19.34	8.58	8.58
2003	12.96	4.90	1.28	0.53	19.67	8.37	8.37
2004	13.16	5.23	1.26	0.54	20.19	8.30	8.30
2005	13.38	5.10	1.20	0.55	20.22	7.88	7.88
2006	13.49	5.19	1.03	0.29	19.99	7.83	7.83
2007	13.60	5.05	1.04	0.29	19.99	7.84	7.84
2008	14.47	4.60	0.96	0.21	20.25	8.52	7.74
2009	14.02	4.398	0.98	0.207	19.60	8.99	8.03
2010	14.25	4.413	0.95	0.203	19.81	9.11	8.02
2011	14.54	4.612	0.94	0.206	20.29	9.41	8.24
2012	14.69	4.746	0.93	0.207	20.58	9.49	8.28
2013	14.76	4.776	0.92	0.202	20.66	9.75	8.45
2014	14.81	4.787	0.90	0.202	20.70	9.89	8.52
2015	14.86	4.819	0.89	0.204	20.77	10.00	8.58
2016	14.90	4.844	0.88	0.205	20.84	10.07	8.57
2017	15.00	4.862	0.87	0.205	20.94	10.23	8.67
2018	15.05	4.863	0.86	0.207	20.99	10.39	8.79
2019	15.18	4.887	0.86	0.208	21.13	10.60	8.96
2020	15.30	4.888	0.85	0.209	21.25	10.77	9.06
2021	15.41	4.870	0.85	0.211	21.34	10.89	9.10
2022	15.58	4.843	0.84	0.211	21.48	11.02	9.05
2023	15.70	4.830	0.84	0.212	21.58	10.96	8.98
2024	15.85	4.813	0.83	0.213	21.71	11.00	8.96
2025	15.98	4.810	0.83	0.213	21.83	11.15	9.04
2026	16.13	4.817	0.82	0.214	21.98	11.30	9.10
2027	16.28	4.796	0.82	0.214	22.11	11.48	9.18
2028	16.37	4.786	0.82	0.215	22.19	11.53	9.15
2029	16.49	4.766	0.81	0.215	22.28	11.63	9.17
2030	16.66	4.761	0.81	0.216	22.44	11.70	9.15
2031	16.81	4.748	0.80	0.217	22.58	11.81	9.12
2032	16.95	4.725	0.80	0.217	22.69	11.94	9.15
2033	17.14	4.706	0.80	0.218	22.86	12.20	9.30
2034	17.31	4.687	0.79	0.219	23.01	12.30	9.28
2035	17.50	4.670	0.79	0.219	23.17	12.34	9.23
Sources: 1973-2008 from Davis, S.C. and Diegel, S.W., "Transportation Energy Data Book: Edition 28," Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, 2009. 2009-2035 from EIA, 2008, "Annual Energy Outlook 2010," Energy Information Administration, DOE/EIA-0383(2010), U.S. Department of Energy, Washington, DC, 2010.

 

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